In recent months, diesel prices in Singapore have seen a significant increase, posing potential challenges for businesses and consumers alike. As of September 16, gasoil prices in the region surged to approximately US$210 per barrel, a steep climb from US$111.75 per barrel recorded on June 26. By September 22, retail diesel prices had also risen to around S$4.07 per litre, although this remained below the year’s earlier peak of S$4.68 per litre.
This upward trend in diesel prices is largely attributed to global fuel supply constraints and disruptions in key oil-producing regions. Contributing factors include restricted shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, ongoing tensions due to the Russia-Ukraine conflict, and attacks on oil infrastructure, all of which have added to the volatility in the diesel market.
Given Singapore’s heavy reliance on imports and its extensive logistics and transportation networks, the rise in diesel costs is particularly concerning. Freight operators, manufacturers, retailers, food service providers, and delivery companies may face increased operational expenses as a result. Road freight and last-mile delivery services, in particular, could experience direct financial pressure, since fuel costs represent a substantial portion of their operating expenses.
Smaller businesses, which typically operate on tighter profit margins, might absorb some of these additional costs, while others might introduce fuel surcharges or modify their delivery and transport strategies. For consumers, this could eventually translate into higher prices for food, retail goods, and other imported items. However, businesses may initially opt to absorb some of the cost increases or reduce discounts rather than immediately raising prices on the shelf.
As the majority of commercial vehicles and buses in Singapore still depend on internal combustion engines, with diesel being a predominant fuel source, businesses remain exposed to fluctuations in global energy markets. Industry experts anticipate that diesel prices will continue to face upward pressure in the near term, as geopolitical tensions and supply disruptions persist in affecting international fuel markets.